Charles David Coleman

chuckcoleman@yahoo.com

EDUCATION

Ph. D. Economics, 1996. George Mason University, Fairfax, VA.

M.S., Social Science, 1988. California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA.

B.S. Economics, 1985. George Mason University, Fairfax, VA.


DISSERTATION

Irreversible Investment under Uncertainty with Taxation. Analysis of irreversible investment under a variety of tax regimes using financial methods. Find tax revenue-maximizing rules.

PRELIMINARY EXAMINATIONS

Passed Ph. D. preliminary examinations in microeconomic theory, macroeconomic theory, econometrics, and public choice.

HONORS AND AWARDS

Performance Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. Level 4 of 5.

Cash-in-Your-Account Award, Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. "Chuck Coleman assisted the housing team in developing a SAS program to extract housing estimates from the 2008 estimates base file. The team already was a month behind in sending the estimates files out to the states and a technical solution was quickly needed to enable production and final review and clearance of the estimates. Dr. Coleman review our specifications and made suggestestions. He then wrote the code, submitted the program, reprocessed after corrections, and produced output files.
     And he did this work with ease and good humor.

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. "This award is for Chuck Coleman's hard work on the Housing Unit Estimates Based Research Team (HUBERT). Chuck's paper on how we use building permits to produce estimates of housing units. This paper provides an in depth [sic] examination of building permits and will be a useful reference guide for the future. We are glad that Chuck was on the team."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. "Chuck Coleman provided his expertise to the service of four (4) review teams: state and county total population, state characteristics, county characteristics, and Puerto Rico population and characteristics, serving as coordinator for the Puerto Rico subteam. His expertise, especially in the area of loss functions, has been invaluable, as has the depth of his understanding of estimating methods. Chuck, thank you for your work and leadership."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. "This is to acknowledge the efforts of Dr. Coleman in preparing the table, graphs, and text describing the tax record match rates in the report for the Population Association of America. This report covers the main activities that Census staff conducted in order to develop the domestic migration estimates to support the 2006 and 2007 estimates. Chuck's comprehensive review of the report ensured its technical accuracy and overall readability."

On-The-Spot Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2008. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman for assisting in the preparation of a presentation to the Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics on the work of the Housing-Unit-Based Estimates Research Team. Charles' review of PowerPoint slides and comments during the presentation dry runs helped make the presentation a success."

Performance Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007. Level 3 of 5.

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman's contributions to the Housing Unit Based Estimates Research Team. Charles [sic] efforts have concentrated on examining the data currently used in the production of housing unit estimates. This focus on the current methodology will provide much needed documentation of the limitations and possibilities of the data sources currently being utilized. Chuck has also participated in other aspects of the housing unit based estimates research such as the examination of the ACS as a source of estimates of PPH and vacancy rates. Charles has also been an active participant in conference calls with members of the FSCPE and HUBERT team meetings. Chuck's contributions to this project so far are greatly appreciated and have been an important part of our progress.

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007. "This is to recognize Chuck's role in the review of subnational population estimats and estimates for Puerto Rico. Chuck led the Puerto Rico Review Subteam and expanded the review of Municpio [sic] data to include the new release of age/sex estimates. Also, Chuck conducted consistency checks for the state/county totals estimates and calculated loss functions to support the review of the state and county characteristics estimates. Chuck, thank you for your contribution in reviewing these data."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007. "This reward is to recognize Charles Coleman's contributions to the housing unit Based Estimates Research Team (HUBERT). The HUBERT team was recently formed to examine the methodology currently used to produce housing unit estimates and to explore options for producing housing unit based population estimates. Charles has been an active participant during team meetings and has made important contributions to the team's research agenda. Charles also volunteered to be the team leader on several research tasks and was one of the main contributors to the team's 'State of the Art' overview paper.

Charles has brought an exceptional level of statistical knowledge and expertise in the methods used to produce housing unit estimnates to this team and his contributions make deserving of this award."

Special Act Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2006. "Dr. Coleman is recognized for his participation in the development of special and unique procedures to incorporate supplemental administrative data for the internal migration system in areas severely impacted by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Working in association with staff from the Data Integration Division and Population Division, Dr. Coleman made unique contributions to the process by developing the statistical thresholds measuring below par match rates between two successive years of IRS address data. Counties and parishes whose rates fell below the threshold [sic] were then supplemented with data from the National Change of Address File. Sixty-two of the 117 counties originally identified by FEMA were subject to the supplemental data."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2006. "Dr. Coleman is recognized for his participation in documenting the subcounty estimates requirements. He was one of the key players in this procedure, which involved detailed discussions to develop a large set of documentation. In prior years, Dr. Coleman revamped the subcounty estimates processing system. Now, he is an active player in moving this system into a CMMI compliant process, fully supported by documentation and IT personnel in key areas required to ensure reliable and supportable SAS code."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2006. "Mr. Coleman worked as one of the members of the County Characteristics Review Team to review an alternate set of estimates in a very short period of time. The team in reviewing the original set of estimates noted some abnormalities in the age data. Although time was running short, Mr. Coleman, [sic] worked to turn around a most thorough analysis of the new data set, providing sufficient information for the steering committee to accept the new data sets. The most thorough analysis and review was accomplished through the dedication and hard work over and above the usual analytical review."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2006. "This is to recognize Chuck's role in the review of subnational estimates and estimates for Puerto Rico. Chuck led the Puerto Rico review subteam, coordinating the review of the subteam members and preparing a final report and presenting it to the team sponsor. Chuck's ability to manipulate SAS datasets and use loss functions to identify outliers was integral in the State and county totals review and the State age-sex review. Chuck, thank you for you [sic] contribution in reviewing these data."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2005. "Dr. Coleman is recognized for his effort to support the migration data preprocessing (outputs and loss functions) and data review activities associated with the new and old migration data for the 2005 Estimates. During this transition period, it was critical to ensure that the outliers were completely flagged to ensure a high quality review of the most extreme components. Dr. Coleman's conscientious effort ensured quick turnaround for requests by the review subteam coordinator."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2005. "Dr. Coleman developed, tested, corrected, and implemented new SAS code to implement an updated method to estimate the rate of housing loss. Implementation of the updated method has expanded the coverage of the stock of housing units considered to be at risk, allows for estimation of housing loss for all units regardless of age built, and can be updated to reflect the inclusion of new micro-level data in the future."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2005. "Dr. Coleman successfully ran the SAS programs used to process the subcounty population estimates and the state and county housing unit methods. While doing this, he also began the effort to document the existing processes and to begin planning on implementing a full CMMI qualifying set of documentation and processes."

Time Off Award, 8 hours, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2005. �This time off award is to recognize the contributions of Charles Coleman to the work of the Organizational Assessment Survey (OAS) team. During February, March, and April Chuck spent a considerable amount of time participating in OAS meetings and preparing and reviewing OAS documents while also completing his normal assignments. Thank you.�

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2004. "Dr. Coleman has led the efforts of the Special Products team to develop customized tabulations consistent with published estimates, often under tight time constraints. He also has provided all the programming support required for the housing unit and subcounty population estimates process [sic] and for the integration of comments from the FSCPEs, special censuses, and challenges. In addition, he has been developing a new set of flow charts to document this [sic] processes consistent with the CMM standard."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2004. "This award recognizes Mr. Coleman's diligent and sustained leadership of the Special Products team activities during the 2003 estimates year and in developing and documenting plans to support the upcoming 2004 estimates. This has included participation in team leader meetings, updating team charters, requirements documents, and in negotiating agreeable terms for data exchange and timeframes among related teams.

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2004. "This award to Mr. Coleman recognizes his initiative to propose a Quality Management Repository for Estimates and Projections. This repository will provide an area where staff can go to find out how to implement an approved statistical or demographic method, either in the form of a mandatory usage, or a best practice. Implementation of this repository will ensure that the estimates are developed using the current best standard methodologies, reduce staff time and effort, resulting in greater efficiencies and higher quality of estimates."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2004. "This award to Mr. Charles Coleman recognizes his diligent efforts to process the building permit and footnotes files, and to process the data files used in developing the 2003 sub county population estimates. Mr. Coleman has processed the data very quickly and efficiently, more than meeting the required deadlines and allowing additional time to review the data. Mr. Coleman's efforts have resulted in a very smooth-running and efficient operation."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2003. "Dr. Coleman developed various issue papers for professional presentations and is a key participant in the development and production of the subcounty estimates. He also continues to participate in activities with his former branch to assist in their production activities."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2003. "This award is to recognize Chuck Coleman?s [sic] contributions to the work of the Population Estimates Branch. Chuck?s [sic] continued dedication and willingness has allowed PEB to meet all of our goals and complete our estimates on time and of [sic] high quality. His dedication and commitment to the estimates show in all of the products we produce."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2002. "This award is to recognize Chuck Coleman's contributions to the Population Estimates Branch. Chuck's continued dedication and willingness has allowed PEB to meet all of our goals and complete our estimates on time and of [sic] high quality. His dedication and commitment to the estimates show in all of the products we produce."

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2002. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman's continued efforts in the production of state-age-sex and subcounty estimates. Chuck's willingness and ability to dig into the programs allows us to meet our obligations on a timely basis. Chuck is continually working with others in the branch to help them improve their programming skills and to ensure that the Branch produces high quality work. His creativity in developing new measures and evaluating old measures is amazing."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2001. "This award is to acknowledge Mr. Charles Coleman's notable contribution to information on components of immigration and emigration during the 1990s. This effort helped ensure that a successful presentation was made by the Demographic Directorate to the Executive Steering Committee on A.C.E. Policy. His ability to meet a demanding schedule for production made the project a success."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2001. "This award is to acknowledge Mr. Charles Coleman's assistance in compiling information on components of immigration and emigration during the 1990s. This effort helped ensure that a successful presentation was made by Population Division to the Executive Steering Committee on A.C.E. Policy. His ability to meet a demanding schedule for productio made the project a success.

Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2001. "This award is given to Chuck Coleman for his outstanding efforts with regards to his work on the subcounty estimates team and the evaluation work he has completed on Census 2000. Specifically, Chuck has been extremely helpful in pulling together numerous special requests for 2000 estimates data. For his efforts, Chuck deserves this special recognition."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2000. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman's subcounty population estimates production work. Chuck has been a key person in making sure that subcounty estimates are completed in a timely fashion. This is the first time subcounty estimates have been produced in consecutive years."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2000. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman's research contributions. Chuck has been assisting with Population Analysis involved in both census and estimates evaluation. Chuck has also worked on methods to improve evaluation tools, which will be used to identify outlier population estimates."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2000. "This award is to recognize Charles Coleman's contribution to the production of the state and county estimates for July, 1999. Mr. Coleman was responsible for reviewing all of the national control files. He developed several programs which checked these data for potential problems. Chuuck followed up with Projections staff concerning any problems. He prepared these control files for incorporation of [sic] the state and county estimates. Working under tight deadlines, Chuck was able to complete the required work on time, and develop several new quality assurance measures."

Cash-in-a-Flash Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1999. "Mr. Coleman provided valuable statistical assistance to the GUSSIE Team. Mr. Coleman insight [sic] in the review stages of the GUSSIE project helped ensure that the GUSSIE outputs would provide required data for adequate evaluation Mr. Coleman's valuble [sic] input throughout the entire process helped ensure that the GUSSIE procedure followed sound statistical theory and practice. The GUSSIE procedure will allow the development of population estimates for cities to use the most up to date boundaries of the locale."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1999. "This award is to recognize Chuck's contribution to revising the subcounty estimates process. Mr. Coleman was responsible for much of the programming and development work that went into the production of 1998 subcounty estimates. Working under tight deadlines, Chuck was able to complete the required work on time, and develop several new quality assurance measures."

On-the-Spot Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1999. "This group award is to recognize the contribution of 19 Population Division staff to the preparation and conduct of the Estimates Methods Conference. Staff worked on planning, reviewing abstracts, helping speakers with special requirements, making travel arrangements, securing space, and numerous other activities."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1999. "Mr. Coleman's work on the production and quality assurance efforts for the 1998 release of state estimates was superior. Working on a tight deadline, Mr. Coleman was able to develop several innovative statistical procedures to review county population and component estimates for inclusion in the state estimates. Mr. Coleman was also instrumental in the production of these estimates. he is also being recognized for his leadership of the team responsible for quality assurance development."

Certificate of Recognition, Special Achievement Award, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1999. "This award is to recognize Chuck's contribution to revising the subcounty population estimates programs. Mr. Coleman's efforts produced a system that allows the Estimates Branch to more quickly produce estimates and allows for easier modifications. Working under tight deadlines Chuck was able to identify flaws in the existing system and to find ways to correct the problems. Mr. Coleman accomplished this despite limited time to learn estimates geography, methods requirements and SAS."

The Wall Street Journal Award for Outstanding Student Achievement, Department of Economics, George Mason University, 1985.

Omicron Delta Epsilon, 1983.



WORK EXPERIENCE

Consultant, self-employed, September, 2006-present.

Provide consulting to clients regarding economics, demographics, statistics and scientific computing.

Projects include developing demographic models for a nonprofit and reviewing a patent application for a marketing firm.

Mathematical Statistician, Population Estimates Branch, Population Division, U.S. Bureau of the Census, September, 1998-October, 1999.
Statistician (Demography), Population Estimates Branch, Population Division, U.S. Bureau of the Census, October, 1999-June, 2003.
Statistician (Demography), Administrative Records and Methodology Research Branch, Population Division, U.S. Bureau of the Census, June, 2003-Present.
Develop intercensal estimates of housing units, households and population for U.S. counties and equivalents and subcounty areas. Develop intercensal estimates of state populations by age and sex. Planned, implemented new systems for subcounty housing unit and population estimates. Research and recommend improvements to existing procedures. Compile, analyze lists of names from Census 2000. Plan, research and implement new statistical and mathematical methodologies for assessing and improving quality of estimates and their inputs. Analyze statistical limitations of these procedures. Analyze results of estimates procedures. Create new statistical techniques. Develop innovative uses of names data. Serve on estimates production, review and anlysis teams. Lead the Quality Management Repository and School District Estimates Teams. Led the Special Projects Team. Use project management methodologies. Confer with members of other Branches, Divisions and outside organizations about each others' work. Write papers for professional conferences and journals. Present findings to supervisors, coworkers and professional conferences. Advise other researchers about their work. Peer review papers for presentation and publication. Meet with members of the Federal-State Program for Population Estimates to discuss issues related to the preparation of population estimates. Served on focus group to develop recommendations in response to 2004 Organizational Assessment Survey. Field inquiries from the public.

Statistical innovations include tests for statistically significant bias in estimates and forecasts, generalizing the matched-pairs t-test, new measures of quality of estimates and forecasts, using loss functions to detect outliers in panel data and developing a conditional probability framework to predict ethnicity given name.

Consultant, NPA Data Services, Inc., Arlington, VA, July, 2004-Present.
Develop national demographic projections model in Excel. Develop regional economic projections in Access. Supervise development of Access databases. Advise on methodologies and software for regional projections development.

Adjunct Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematical Sciences, George Mason University, August, 1997-May, 1998.
Taught undergraduate course "Concepts of Math." Advised students.

Consultant, NPA Data Services, Inc., Washington, DC, July, 1985-September, 1998.
Estimated, simulated and projected economic and demographic models of the U.S., nationally, regionally, and sectorally, using statistical packages, spreadsheets, databases and APL. Developed quality assurance procedures. Developed databases for same. Analyzed results. Evaluated, selected statistical estimators. Developed packages to produce products for sale. Prepared text and graphics for publications. Evaluated and recommended purchases of computers and related items. Handled customer inquiries, sales, and support. Documented work.

Projects included National Economic Projections Series (tm), Regional Economic Projections Series (tm), Key Indicators of Economic Growth (tm), Markets for New Construction (tm), Construction Permits Service, MSA Economics and Construction Service, An Atlas of U.S. Economy, Technology, and Growth, analyses of U.S. computer and railroad industries, analysis of effects of defense budget cuts on local economies.

Systems Analyst, Lewis, Bailey Associates, Arlington, VA, June, 1992-August, 1992.
Programmed and documented financial analysis software using C++.

Research Assistant to David M. Levy, Center for Study of Public Choice, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, August, 1988-May, 1989.
Wrote simulation program for Intel Hypercube. Ported same to VAX.

Research Assistant to Charles R. Plott, Department of Social Science, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, June, 1987-September, 1987.
Conducted and analyzed results of economic experiments. Wrote software for actual and simulated experiments.

Teaching Assistant, Department of Social Science, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, September, 1986-June, 1987.
Conducted recitations in economics and political science. Graded homework and papers.

Research Assistant to David M. Levy, Center for Study of Public Choice, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, October, 1984-July, 1985.
Worked on technology transfer study project for Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. Estimated models of international investment in research and development. Wrote statistical software.

PUBLICATIONS

With David A. Swanson, "On MAPE-R as a Measure of Cross-Sectional Estimation and Forecast Accuracy,� Journal of Economic and Social Methods, Volume 32, Number 4, pp. 219-233, 2007.

With David L. Word, Robert Nunziata and Robert Kominski, "Demographic Aspects of Surnames from Census 2000," Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC, 2007. Additional files are available at http://www.census.gov/genealogy/www/freqnames2k.html.

"A Fast, High-Precision Implementation of the Univariate One-Parameter Box-Cox Transformation Using the Golden Section Search in SAS/IML�," Proceedings of the 17th Northeast SAS Users Group (NESUG) Conference, http://www.nesug.org/html/Proceedings/nesug04/an/an12.pdf, 2004.

"Loss Functions for Detecting Outliers in Panel Data: An Introduction," in The 13th Federal Forecasters Conference - 2003: Papers and Proceedings, Gerald, Debra E. and Norman Saunders [eds.], U.S. Department of Education, Office of Research and Improvement, 265-273. Available at http://www1.va.gov/vhareorg/ffc/PandP/FFC2003.pdf.

With Jason Devine, "People Might Move but Housing Units Don�t: An Evaluation of the State and County Housing Unit Estimates," Working Paper No. 71, Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, 2003.

With Greg Harper and Jason Devine, "Evaluation of 2000 Subcounty Population Estimates," Working Paper No. 70, Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, 2003.

"Optimization of Population Projections Using Loss Functions when the Base Populations are Subject to Uncertainty," in The 12th Federal Forecasters Conference - 2002: Papers and Proceedings, Gerald, Debra E. [ed.], U.S. Department of Education, Office of Research and Improvement, pp. 91-95. Available at http://www1.va.gov/vhareorg/ffc/PandP/FFC2002.pdf.

"Why Don't Democracies Go To War?," Festschrift in Honor of Gordon Tullock's 80th Birthday, http://publicchoice.org/TullockTales/Coleman.pdf, 2002.

"Evaluation and Optimization of Population Projections Using Loss Functions," in The 11th Federal Forecasters Conference - 2000: Papers and Proceedings, Gerald, Debra E. [ed.], U.S. Department of Education, Office of Research and Improvement, pp. 27-32. Avaiablle at http://www1.va.gov/vhareorg/ffc/PandP/FFC2000.pdf.

"Nonparametric Tests for Bias in Estimates and Forecasts," American Statistical Association: 1999 Proceedings of the Business and Economics Section, American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA, 1999, pp. 251-256.

With Nestor E. Terleckyj et al., National Economic Projections Series and Regional Economic Projections Series, NPA Data Services, Inc., Washington, DC, 1985-1998, 2006-07.

CONFERENCE PAPERS

With Rodger V. Johnson and Justin Bland, "Impacts of the 2005 Gulf Coast Hurricanes on Domestic Migration: The U.S. Census Bureau�s Response," presented to the 2008 meetings of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA, April, 2008.

With Jonathan F. Takeuchi, "A New Way to Look at Regional Survey Data: Differences in Vacancy Rates and Persons per Household by County, 2000-2005," presented to the 2007 Applied Demography conference, San Antonio, TX, January, 2007.

With David A. Swanson, "On MAPE-R as a Measure of Estimation and Forecast Accuracy," presented to the 2004 meetings of the Southern Demographic Association, October, 2004.

"The Effect of International Migration on Postcensal County Population Estimates for the 1990s," presented the 2003 meetings of the Southern Demographic Association, October, 2003.

"Measures of Estimates Quality," presented to the 2002 meetings of the Population Association of America, Atlanta, GA, April, 2002.

"Non-i.i.d. Generalizations of the Matched-Pairs t-Test," presented to the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings, Atlanta, GA, August, 2001.

"An Economic Theory of Special Censuses and Estimates Challenges," presented to the 2001 meetings of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, March, 2001.

With Peter A. Morrison and David L. Word, "Using First Names to Estimate Racial Proportions in Populations," presented to the 2001 meetings of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, March, 2001.

"Tests for Differential Bias in Estimates and Forecasts," presented to the 2000 meetings of Southern Demographic Association, New Orlean, LA, October, 2000.

With Peter A. Morrison and David L. Word, "Children�s Forenames Recorded in the Census: Potential Research Applications," presented to the 2000 meetings of Southern Demographic Association, New Orlean, LA, October, 2000.

With Melissa Therrien, "Relationships among Different Sources of Migration Information," presented to the 2000 meetings of Southern Demographic Association, New Orlean, LA, October, 2000.

"The Base for Comparing 4/1/2000 Estimates," presented to Post-2000 Estimates Methods Committee of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, August 2000.

With Thomas Bryan and Jason E. Devine, "Loss Functions for Detecting Outliers in Panel Data," presented to Spring 2000 meetings of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, Los Angeles, CA, March, 2000.

With Thomas Bryan, "Loss Functions for Detecting Outliers in Panel Data when the Data May Change Sign," presented to Spring 2000 meetings of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, Los Angeles, CA, March, 2000.

"Metrics for Assessing the Accuracy of Estimates and Forecasts," presented to the 1999 meetings of the Southern Demographic Association, San Antonio, TX, October, 1999.

"A Life-Cycle Model of Fame," presented to Southern Economic Association annual meetings, Atlanta, GA, November 1997.

RESEARCH REPORTS

With Melanie Martindale, "Proposed Outlier Measure: The Anti-Beta Trimmed-Mean," report of the Outlier Subcommittee to the Post-2000 Estimates Methods Committee of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, October 2000.

RESEARCH PAPERS

"Generalized Raking", manuscript, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"The Greatest Mantissa Algorithm for Controlled Rounding of Nonnegative Vectors," manuscript, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"Webster's Rule for Assessing the Accuracy of Cross-Sectional Estimates and Forecasts," manuscript, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"A Note on the Expected P Value of the Sign Test, manuscript, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"Total Loss Functions for Assessing the Accuracy of Cross-Sectional Estimates and Forecasts," manuscript, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"On the Estimation of Population Proportions," ongoing research, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"Harry Markowitz and the Allais Paradox", 2000.

"The Virginia Abolition Debate of 1831-32", 1992.

OTHER PRESENTATIONS

"Data + Methods = Estimates," presented to the Post-2000 Estimates Methods Committee of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, January 24, 2002.

"Perspectives on Model Averaging," presented to the Spring 2001 meetings of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, March 27, 2001.

"Criteria for Evaluating Post-2000 Estimates," presented to the Spring 2001 meetings of the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, March 27, 2001.

"Loss Functions for Detecting Outliers in Panel Data," Statistics Colloquium, Institute for Computer Science and Informatics and Department of Applied Statistics, George Mason University, April 21, 2000.

With Jason E. Devine, "Practical Solutions to the Dilemma of Improved Quality and Less Staff Time: Tools to Review Estimates," presented to the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates Spring 1999 meetings, New York, New York, March 1999.

OTHER TRAINING

"Introduction to Survey Estimation," Joint Program in Survey Methodology, Adelphi, MD, February 2008.

Master's Certificate in Project Management, The George Washington University, requirements completed, September 2005.

"Information Visualization for Digital Government: Envisioning Statistical Knowledge Networks," Joint Program in Survey Methodology, Bethesda, MD, April 2004.

"Quality Assurance in the Government Symposium," Washington Statistical Society, Arlington, VA, December 2003.

"Introduction to Survey Quality," course, Joint Program in Survey Methodology, Greenbelt, MD, September 2002.

"Leadership Potential Seminar," course, Western Management Development Center, Aurora, CO, June 2001.

"Nonparametrics in Data Mining," conference, Southern Methodist University, University Park, TX, January 2001.

"Managing Projects in Organizations," course, ESI International, U.S. Census Bureau, August 2000.

"Data Mining: Dredging the Depths for Details," conference, Delaware Chapter, American Statistical Association, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, April 2000.

REFEREE EXPERIENCE

Journals: Operations Research, Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, Social Biology, Population Research and Policy Review.

COMPUTER EXPERIENCE

Software:
Lotus 1-2-3, Quattro Pro for DOS and Windows, Paradox for DOS and Windows, Access, Excel, TeX, SPSS, SHAZAM, SAS, MACSYMA, Mathematica, MATLAB, TSP, various word processors, communications programs, and utilities.
Languages:
APL, BASIC, FORTRAN, Pascal, C, C++, HTML. Familiar with PL/I, Intel 80xx assembler, MODULA-2.
Hardware:
IBM-PC, VAX, CDC CYBER, Sun, Intel Hypercube, CD recorders, 9-track magnetic tape.
Operating Systems:
MS-DOS, Windows, UNIX, VMS, Cyber NOS, LANtastic.
Other:
Familiar with neural networks, parallel computers.

PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS

American Economic Association, American Finance Association, American Statistical Association, Econometric Society, Population Association of America, Public Choice Society, Southern Demographic Association.

OTHER AFFILIATIONS

Student Government Senator, George Mason University, April, 1982-April, 1984.

Secretary/Treasurer, International Students Association, George Mason University, January, 1984-February, 1985.

Member, Board of Directors, Oakleigh Homeowners Association, Oakton, VA, April, 1994-May, 1999.

LANGUAGES

Working Knowledge:
Spanish, French, Farsi.
Reading Knowledge:
German, Russian, Italian, Latin, Romanian.
Some Knowledge:
Arabic, Hebrew, Japanese, Hungarian.

ERDŐS NUMBER

5

CITIZENSHIP

U.S.

COURSEWORK

Graduate:
George Mason University:
Public choice, economics of development, international economics, macroeconomic theory, computational statistics, linear analysis, industrial organization, economic history, and history of economic thought.

California Institute of Technology:
Microeconomic theory, econometrics, analytical political theory, game theory, and advanced economic theory.

Graduate Coursework taken as Undergraduate:
George Mason University:
Microeconomic theory, macroeconomic theory, econometrics, mathematical economics, and modern control theory. Independent studies in economics of conflict, economic philosophy, constitutional economics, and econometrics.

Undergraduate:
George Mason University:
Probability, statistics, stochastic processes, advanced calculus, differential equations, operations research, numerical analysis, and independent study in optimal control theory.
Write to me! chuckcoleman@yahoo.com