World Economic Forum annual report , rediffiusé par US embassy Paris 11/12/2002
The United States' economy is the world's most competitive due to its "stellar performance" on technology-related factors and a business environment that is conducive to risk-taking and entrepreneurship, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF).
nbsp; Lire >>
Released November 12, the
WEF's "Global Competitiveness Report 2002-2003" gives Finland the number two
spot on its "growth competitiveness index," followed by Taiwan, Singapore and
Sweden. In last year's report, Finland was ranked first and the United States
second.
Published since 1979, the
WEF report measures the comparative strengths and weaknesses of 80 economies and
offers two index rankings: one covering prospects for growth over the next five
to eight years and a second measuring an economy's current productive potential.
The United States held
the top position in both indexes for 2002-2003.
WEF Chief Economist Peter
Cornelius's executive summary warned against complacency in the United States,
however, saying that the U.S. economic recovery "seems rather slow" and that
there remains "considerable concern" about a possible "double-dip" recession.
Moreover, U.S. corporate and private debts "still appear rather large,"
Cornelius said.
Other highlights of the
report include a "significant strengthening" of the competitive positions of
China and India. Argentina and Turkey experienced the largest drop in the
rankings since publication of the previous year's report. The report expresses
concern over future growth prospects for both Argentina and Turkey and cites
"major problems" for those two countries in the areas of public institutions and
the macroeconomic environment.
The Geneva-based WEF is
an independent international organization that is funded by contributions from
some 1,000 global companies and usually holds its annual gathering in Davos,
Switzerland, in January. More information on the Global Competitiveness Report
is available online at: http://www.weforum.org
-
Following is
the text of the WEF news release:
Geneva, Switzerland, 12
November 2002 at 14.30 GMT -- The United States is the most competitive economy
in the world according to The Global Competitiveness Report 2002-2003 released
by the World Economic Forum today. Despite lingering concerns regarding the
prospect of a war, the impact of corporate scandals, and the slow recovery from
last year's recession, the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report
indicates that the U.S. economy has the best prospects for growth over the next
five to eight years.
This year the United
States swaps positions with Finland, last year's top-ranked country. The United
States owes its high competitiveness mainly to its stellar performance in
technology-related factors and a business environment that is conducive to
entrepreneurship and risk taking. The U.S. also scores well in its
macroeconomic environment, although the country's low savings rate remains a
matter of concern. The Report measures the comparative strengths and weaknesses
of 80 national economies.
"The U.S. economy has
proven to be remarkably resilient and the fundamentals are in place for
sustained growth in the U.S.," said Peter Cornelius, Chief Economist of the
World Economic Forum. "That the United States is ranked number one in both the
Growth Competitiveness Index and the Microeconomic Competitiveness Index should
not lead to complacency, for to maintain this leading position, the country has
to resolve outstanding reform issues, especially the need to improve its
governance system, low savings rate and the ballooning trade deficit," he added.
-
Some other
highlights of The Global Competitiveness Report 2002-2003 are:
-- Japan is moving
up in the competitiveness ranking. Despite deterioration in its macroeconomic
environment and public institutions index rankings, Japan's position rises in
the overall Growth Competitiveness Index, with technological innovation as the
key driver.
-- The rankings show
significant strengthening of China and India's competitive positions.
Much of India's gains stem from its performance in the technology and
macroeconomic environment indexes, while China derives much of its ascent from
gains in the public institutions index.
-- Crisis countries,
Argentina and Turkey, have experienced the largest drop in this year's
Growth Competitiveness Index rankings. Future growth prospects of both
countries look particularly concerning because the declines were not only due to
lower macroeconomic environment scores; that both countries' positions in the
public institutions index also dropped does not augur well for their prospects
of immediate recovery.
-- There is a wide
divergence of performance among the European countries, with Sweden and
Switzerland rising to the 4th and 5th positions from last year's rankings of 9th
and 15th, respectively; while France and Italy fall to 30th and 39th positions
from last year's rankings of 20th and 26th, respectively.
The biggest changes have
been experienced by Switzerland, having climbed from 15th to 6th place in the
Growth Competitiveness Index (GCI) thanks to a dramatic improvement of their
technology. Turkey, on the other hand, has the worst performance in this year's
Report, slipping by 16 spots, dragged down primarily by a worsening performance
in public institutions. Regarding technology performance, Israel shows
surprisingly the greatest improvement going up 19 places from 26th to 7th, while
New Zealand has experienced the hardest fall -- 16 places. The worst performers
in the macroeconomic environment were Brazil and Argentina, dropping 34 and 25
places respectively. India shows the best increase in macroeconomic performance
along with the Russian Federation.
"In view of the fragility
of global economic recovery, it is more important than ever to assess the growth
prospects of countries," said Professor Klaus Schwab, Founder and President of
the World Economic Forum. "For the recovery to be strengthened and sustained,
obstacles to growth must be identified and overcome and, to this end, The Global
Competitiveness Report is intended to be a benchmarking tool for policy-makers
as they seek to improve the conditions of growth and competitiveness."
A more detailed version
of this press release is available on our website at
http://www.weforum.org/mediacentre