If HAL is forced to draft, we use a Draftomatic based-draft of
available players, with the 12 weakest teams (previous season
records) entered in the draft. HAL bids on players that he
drafts, with his starting point determined by a die roll (first
through sixth). HAL bids based on a percentage of remaining
cash on hand. To keep HAL from bidding too much on mediocre
middle round and worthless late round players, his bids
(expressed as a percentage of remaining cash) need to drop off
very quickly and then level out. To model this (for anyone '
interested), I used a factor analysis of 28 variables that
happened to be lying around in my computer and got the following
pattern (percent of variance accounted for):
Round Bid, % of cash Example: team with $500
remaining
1 20.0 $100
2 13.5 54
3 9.6 33
4 6.4 etc.
5 5.1
6 4.8
7 4.0
8 3.4
9 3.0
10 2.9
11 2.7
12 2.4
13 2.1
14 1.9
15 1.7
16 1.6
17 1.4
18 1.3
19 1.2
20 1.1
21 1.1
22+ 1.0
HAL's bids for 1964 Fort Worth:
[1]Drafting Report for 1964tl
[1]Round 1
Altoona drafts T.Oliva
Anchorage drafts R.Carty
Austin drafts R.Allen
Baton Rouge drafts G.Thomas
Fort Worth drafts J.Hart 943 x .20 = 188
Death Valley drafts D.Stuart
Jordan drafts T.Conigliaro
Kansas City drafts S.Bowens
Northbrook drafts J.Pepitone
Phlorida drafts J.Roseboro
Phoenix drafts D.Johnson
Seattle drafts W.Bond
[1]Round 2
Altoona drafts C.Salmon
Anchorage drafts J.Edwards
Austin drafts W.Smith
Baton Rouge drafts J.King
Fort Worth drafts W.Bunker 755 x .135 = 101
Death Valley drafts E.Bressoud
Jordan drafts R.Fairly
Kansas City drafts B.Lee
Northbrook drafts M.Stottlemyre
Phlorida drafts W.Covington
Phoenix drafts T.Taylor
Seattle drafts V.Davalillo
[1]Round 3
Altoona drafts C.Simmons
Anchorage drafts D.Green
Austin drafts D.Brown
Baton Rouge drafts R.Amaro
Fort Worth drafts B.McCool 654 * .096 = 62
Death Valley drafts T.Davis
Jordan drafts D.Buford
Kansas City drafts J.Brandt
Northbrook drafts S.Ellis
Phlorida drafts M.Wills
Phoenix drafts E.Kirkpatrick
Seattle drafts R.Rollins
[1]Round 4
Altoona drafts B.Chance
Anchorage drafts A.Pearson
Austin drafts A.Rodgers
Baton Rouge drafts J.Stewart
Fort Worth drafts J.Amalfitano 592 x .064 = 37
Death Valley drafts W.Held
Jordan drafts L.Tiant
Kansas City drafts C.Raymond
Northbrook drafts A.Johnson
Phlorida drafts J.Javier
Phoenix drafts A.Spangler
Seattle drafts P.Linz
[1]Round 5
Altoona drafts C.Cannizzaro
Anchorage drafts S.Siebert
Austin drafts J.Blanchard
Baton Rouge drafts J.Davenport
Fort Worth drafts J.Sparma 555 x .051 = 28
Death Valley drafts H.Reniff
Jordan drafts D.Ellsworth
Kansas City drafts G.Cisco
Northbrook drafts R.Herbel
Phlorida drafts M.Shannon
Phoenix drafts B.Rodgers
Seattle drafts D.Jones
[1]Round 6
Altoona drafts E.Bailey
Anchorage drafts L.Clinton
Austin drafts H.Lopez
Baton Rouge drafts N.Mathews
Fort Worth drafts H.Reed 527 x .048 = 25
Death Valley drafts B.Bryan
Jordan drafts D.Wert
Kansas City drafts J.Gilliam
Northbrook drafts D.Nicholson
Phlorida drafts T.Stallard
Phoenix drafts R.Craig
Seattle drafts G.Triandos
[1]Round 7
Altoona drafts S.Miller
Anchorage drafts T.Satriano
Austin drafts D.Bertell
Baton Rouge drafts E.Roebuck
Fort Worth drafts R.Herbert 502 x .040 = 20
Death Valley drafts B.Tiefenauer
Jordan drafts J.Gibbon
Kansas City drafts L.Burke
Northbrook drafts T.Butters
Phlorida drafts G.Alusik
Phoenix drafts D.Bennett
Seattle drafts D.Schofield
[1]Round 8
Altoona drafts R.Snyder
Anchorage drafts D.Nottebart
Austin drafts M.White
Baton Rouge drafts G.Kolb
Fort Worth drafts E.Kranepool 482 x .034 = 16
Death Valley drafts C.Smith
Jordan drafts T.McCraw
Kansas City drafts J.Nuxhall
Northbrook drafts G.Richardson
Phlorida drafts M.Brumley
Phoenix drafts B.Campaneris
Seattle drafts R.Kline
[1]Round 9
Altoona drafts B.Monbouquette
Anchorage drafts B.Heffner
Austin drafts R.McMillan
Baton Rouge drafts L.Miller
Fort Worth drafts J.Gonder 466 x .030 = 13
Death Valley drafts B.Johnson
Jordan drafts D.Crandall
Kansas City drafts E.Broglio
Northbrook drafts G.McNertney
Phlorida drafts A.Gatewood
Phoenix drafts P.Gonzalez
Seattle drafts B.Humphreys
[1]Round 10
Altoona drafts H.Lanier
Anchorage drafts B.Cowan
Austin drafts B.Wakefield
Baton Rouge drafts J.Gaines
Fort Worth drafts J.Fisher 453 x .029 = 13
Death Valley drafts P.Mikkelsen
Jordan drafts P.Ramos
Kansas City drafts F.Malzone
Northbrook drafts S.Hamilton
Phlorida drafts L.Brown
Phoenix drafts B.Latman
Seattle drafts A.Weis
[1]Round 11
Altoona drafts T.Harper
Anchorage drafts D.Tracewski
Austin drafts T.Francona
Baton Rouge drafts P.Ortega
Fort Worth drafts B.Perry 440 x .027 = 12
Death Valley drafts J.Orsino
Jordan drafts B.Klaus
Kansas City drafts B.Narum
Northbrook drafts D.Edwards
Phlorida drafts W.Kirkland
Phoenix drafts J.Landis
Seattle drafts D.Osinski
[1]Round 12
Altoona drafts J.Moeller
Anchorage drafts T.John
Austin drafts D.Lee
Baton Rouge drafts H.Kuenn
Fort Worth drafts M.De La Hoz 428 * .024 = 10
Death Valley drafts B.Shantz
Jordan drafts G.Stephens
Kansas City drafts M.Hershberger
Northbrook drafts C.Cottier
Phlorida drafts A.Mahaffey
Phoenix drafts J.Kennedy
Seattle drafts F.Gladding
[1]Round 13
Altoona drafts R.Sheldon
Anchorage drafts D.Morehead
Austin drafts A.Earley
Baton Rouge drafts J.Santiago
Fort Worth drafts B.Knoop 418 * .021 = 9
Death Valley drafts F.Kreutzer
Jordan drafts J.Pagan
Kansas City drafts L.Elliott
Northbrook drafts D.Cater
Phlorida drafts D.McLain
Phoenix drafts J.O'Donoghue
Seattle drafts J.Martin
[1]Round 14
Altoona drafts E.Robinson
Anchorage drafts F.Thomas
Austin drafts L.Burdette
Baton Rouge drafts S.Boros
Fort Worth drafts E.Connolly 409 * .019 = 8
Death Valley drafts D.Donovan
Jordan drafts O.Pena
Kansas City drafts N.Oliver
Northbrook drafts D.Clemens
Phlorida drafts B.Moran
Phoenix drafts J.Alou
Seattle drafts G.Coleman
[1]Round 15
Altoona drafts J.Herrnstein
Anchorage drafts F.Valentine
Austin drafts B.Allen
Baton Rouge drafts L.Stange
Fort Worth drafts B.Meyer 401 x .017 = 7
Death Valley drafts L.Green
Jordan drafts G.Altman
Kansas City drafts B.Skinner
Northbrook drafts F.Talbot
Phlorida drafts K.Harrelson
Phoenix drafts N.Fox
Seattle drafts W.Spahn
[1]Round 16
Altoona drafts S.Blass
Anchorage drafts D.Griffith
Austin drafts G.Freese
Baton Rouge drafts J.Cunningham
Fort Worth drafts G.Bell 394 x .016 = 6
Death Valley drafts G.Alley
Jordan drafts L.Gabrielson
Kansas City drafts F.Bolling
Northbrook drafts W.Blasingame
Phlorida drafts V.Power
Phoenix drafts D.Smith
Seattle drafts B.Hoeft
[1]Round 17
Altoona drafts B.Phillips
Anchorage drafts H.Taylor
Austin drafts C.James
Baton Rouge drafts J.Koppe
Fort Worth drafts E.Burton 388 x .014 = 5
Death Valley drafts R.Kanehl
Jordan drafts J.Schaffer
Kansas City drafts L.Bearnarth
Northbrook drafts G.Arrigo
Phlorida drafts A.Samuel
Phoenix drafts C.Ruiz
Seattle drafts J.Lewis
[1]Round 18
Altoona drafts F.Kostro
Anchorage drafts W.Parker
Austin drafts D.Roberts
Baton Rouge drafts C.Schilling
Fort Worth drafts J.Werhas 383 x .013 = 5
Death Valley drafts T.Reynolds
Jordan drafts J.Grote
Kansas City drafts R.Nixon
Northbrook drafts D.Stenhouse
Phlorida drafts A.Koch
Phoenix drafts R.Duren
Seattle drafts C.Hardy
[1]Round 19
Altoona drafts B.Duliba
Anchorage drafts W.Hunter
Austin drafts A.Smith
Baton Rouge drafts C.Olivo
Fort Worth drafts D.Snider 378 x .012 = 5
Death Valley drafts C.Carreon
Jordan drafts J.Klippstein
Kansas City drafts D.Rudolph
Northbrook drafts W.Horton
Phlorida drafts C.Hiller
Phoenix drafts T.Horton
Seattle drafts R.Mejias
[1]Round 20
Altoona drafts J.Tartabull
Anchorage drafts R.Campbell
Austin drafts R.Wise
Baton Rouge drafts J.Kindall
Fort Worth drafts K.Hunt 373 x .011 = 4
Death Valley drafts M.Roarke
Jordan drafts G.Zimmerman
Kansas City drafts W.Moon
Northbrook drafts G.Williams
Phlorida drafts J.Boozer
Phoenix drafts M.Cuellar
Seattle drafts B.Uecker
[1]Round 21
Altoona drafts K.McBride
Anchorage drafts T.Fox
Austin drafts J.Wood
Baton Rouge drafts R.Face
Fort Worth drafts O.McFarlane 369 x .011 = 4
Death Valley drafts W.Woodward
Jordan drafts B.Pleis
Kansas City drafts W.Schurr
Northbrook drafts D.Leppert
Phlorida drafts J.Snyder
Phoenix drafts D.Maxvill
Seattle drafts D.Vineyard
[1]Round 22
Altoona drafts M.Queen
Anchorage drafts J.Goryl
Austin drafts R.Locke
Baton Rouge drafts D.Camilli
Fort Worth drafts H.Smith 365 x .010 = 4
Death Valley drafts A.Moore
Jordan drafts D.Ribant
Kansas City drafts R.Terry
Northbrook drafts F.Lary
Phlorida drafts F.Charton
Phoenix drafts C.Estrada
Seattle drafts G.Jones
[1]Round 23
Altoona drafts J.Lamabe
Anchorage drafts F.Bork
Austin drafts D.Elston
Baton Rouge drafts B.Spanswick
Fort Worth drafts K.Sanders 361 x .010 = 4
Death Valley drafts T.Sisk
Jordan drafts F.Baumann
Kansas City drafts C.Willey
Northbrook drafts S.Slaughter
Phlorida drafts F.Norman
Phoenix drafts A.Luplow