Malaysia has gone through three great crises since the Second World War. We have bounced back twice. We will bounce back again, God willing.
2. The first
was a war against Communist guerillas bent
on setting up a Communist Republic in Malaysia. We defeated
them.
3. Malaysia's
second great post-War crisis occurred
with race riots in Kuala Lumpur in May 1969.
4. Parliamentary democracy
had to be suspended. But within
18 months everything was back to normal.
5. To ensure
there would be no recurrence of such riots
we implemented a New Economic Policy (NEP) aimed at
eradicating poverty regardless of race and
the elimination of the identification
of race with economic functions.
6. As with all Southeast
Asian countries Malaysia has citizens
of Chinese origin who dominated the economy
almost entirely.The NEP helped the indigenous
people to catch up
with the Chinese. It was not a Robin Hood
operation. Redistribution was
to be from new wealth created
through well-planned economic growth policies of the
Government. As for poverty, it was reduced from 50 percent
to seven percent in 30 years of the NEP.
7. You may note
that we did not choose the Socialist or
the Communist approach. We could have nationalised
by expropriating from
the rich Chinese. But we
preferred the free market
and affirmative action; something
that is not easy to implement.
8. The NEP
has benefited every single indigenous people
of Malaysia, each of course according to
his capacity. Naturally
some seem to benefit more than others.
But there is no society in the world where
there is absolute equality -- not even in the Communist
world.
9. The non-indigenous
people including the Chinese also
benefitted.
10. Let me now turn to our third
great crisis, which we are
still experiencing now. Two weeks before the crisis
started Malaysia was described by Mr. Camdessus of the
IMF as, and
I quote "a good example where
the authorities are well aware of the
challenges of managing the
pressures that result from high growth
and of maintaining a sound
financial system amid capital flows and
a booming property market" unquote. Yet the country went
into financial turmoil together with other East
Asian countries as its currency was
rapidly valued by the currency
traders.
11. Instead of blaming
the currency manipulators, the Government
was blamed. The Governments of East Asia are all
said to be corrupt, practised cronyism and nepotism and
are not transparent. There is no doubt that
to varying degrees they
were. But despite this, these Governments
were able to develop their countries so fast that
they were described as miracle economies. If their weaknesses
were the cause they could never
have performed these miracles.
They would have collapsed long
ago. But they collapsed only in July 1997
when their currencies were deliberately
devalued by currency traders
bent on making money for themselves.
12. We are not taken in by the claim
that the market is disciplining
Governments. If there is no money to be
made they wouldn't care less if these Governments
are run by bandits.
The market is made up of very greedy people
who just want to make money for
themselves without regard for the misery
they cause the poor people in
developing countries.
13. Devaluing currencies can
give huge profits for the currency
traders but it is a sure way to impoverish
people and countries and destroy economies.If
deliberate currency devaluation
is accompanied by attacks on the stock
market the result is even worse. Even the great
United States of America would go under if
the dollar is devalued
by 50 percent and Dow Jones plummet to two
thousand points. Someone
should do a sensitivity analysis
of some of the giant corporations of the USA under
these conditions.
14. In Malaysia the currency
was devalued by 80 percent at
times and the stock market index went down from 1200 to
260, wiping out almost US$300 billion in
market capitalisation.
15. On top of this the
IMF used its Malaysian cronies to
force interest rates to be raised, to squeeze credit and
shorten the period for loans to be declared
non performing.
16. It was suggested
that high interest rates would keep
our money out of the hands of the currency traders.
Instead it flowed massively to Singapore, where
even higher interest
rates were offered. The currency
traders needed to borrow
the money only for short periods
and did not mind the high interests. They kept on
devaluing the currency while Malaysia ran short of
credit.
17. The economy
went into a tailspin. Malaysia was going
bankrupt. The foreign observers happily predicted that
Malaysia must soon ask for IMF loans and accept IMF control.
That means Malaysia must allow foreigners to take
over Malaysian banks, privatised utilities
and businesses. The longer
Malaysia balked the lower will the
shares fall and the cheaper will it
be for foreigners
to pick up the distressed
Malaysian corporations.
18. We appealed to the
IMF and the World Bank to curb the
activities of the currency traders.
But Mr Camdessus
merely wrote to say that currency trading is so
huge and involved the great banks of the West that
nothing could be done to regulate currency
trading.
19. We could not understand
it. To us it was obvious that
currency trading is at the root of practically all financial
turmoils. With hundreds of billions in terms of
purchasing power of the East lost, world trade and
the world's economy must suffer. But
it seems the rights
of the currency traders are more important than
the economy of the world. They must not be frustrated
in any way.
20. It would seem
that the system has become more important
than the result. It has become a religion and must
be upheld even if it destroys everything.
The world's economy is not as
important as the free markets and
the rights of the currency traders.
21. Malaysia is small. Its
economy is not important to the
world. Whether we are destroyed or not does
not matter. Whether our
people are hungry or they riot and self-destruct
is of no concern to the world.
22. Since this is the
attitude of the world, Malaysia would
be wasting its time hoping for the world community to
restructure the international financial system merely to
help us out. We Malaysians have to take independent
action in order to protect our interests.
23. Since we believe that
the currency traders and the stock
market speculators were responsible for
what happened to our economy,
the logical thing to do is to put
a stop to their activities as they affected
our country. And
so we put in place selective exchange control
designed specifically to prevent the currency
traders from getting hold of our Ringgit.
The Ringgit was therefore
made worthless outside of Malaysia and may not
be brought back into Malaysia one month
after controls were imposed.
24. Trade is to
be conducted in foreign currencies. Exports
must exceed imports if there is to be enough
foreign currencies to pay
for imports. Within the country
the foreign currency can be converted to Ringgit at
3.8 Ringgit to US$1.00 or equivalent and vice versa.
Conversion is only for payments for imports.
Within four months of controls
reserves rose by 35 percent to US$27
billion. As all export earnings are sold to the
Central Bank, the
money in circulation has also
increased.
25. The Malaysian stock
market was peculiar in that much
of the trading was done in Singapore through an
over the counter market operated by
the Singapore Stock Exchange.
Although shares traded there were illegal
according to Malaysian law and were not recorded
in the Kuala Lumpur
Stock Exchange (KLSE) they nevertheless affected
the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index.
26. Short-selling in Singapore
rapidly pushed down the Composite
Index. All the Malaysian
banks and corporations
went into a state of distress, unable to repay
loans or to borrow money to finance
their businesses. Unless the
trading in Singapore is stopped, Malaysian
banks and companies would go bankrupt and we would
be forced to let foreigners take over all
our businesses. We
Malaysians would be mere workers in foreign-owned
companies.
27. To stop this we
required all share trading to be made
through the KLSE. In addition capital invested in the
stock market must stay in the country for at least one
year. This effectively stopped share manipulations. At
the time when the controls were imposed the Composite Index
had gone down from 1200 to 260. It has now risen to
about 600. Companies are now able to service loans
and borrow again and businesses have largely
revived.
28. Free from the threat of
devaluation by the currency traders,
interest rates have been lowered. The return of
the Ringgit from abroad helped increase liquidity.
An asset management
company has bought the non- performing
loans while a special purpose vehicle was set up
to recapitalise the banks.
29. When Malaysia introduced
these selective controls there
was almost universal condemnation. We were told
we would fail or at best the relief
would be temporary. The international media as usual accused
the Malaysian Government
of imposing controls to save the cronies and the
family members of the Prime Minister. They
even hinted that the
people would rise and overthrow the Government.
30. I would like
to invite all of you to Malaysia to see
whether controls have harmed Malaysia. Talk to the average
Malaysians, not just to the few who are anti-
Government. Find out if
the people are interested in rioting
and overthrowing the Government. Meet
the managers of 100 percent foreign-owned
industries and ask them how they
are doing.
31. I ask you
to come and see for yourself because apart
from the currency traders and stock
market raiders, we have also
to contend with a hostile Western media.
They distort all reports on Malaysia. If you
depend on them you will never know the
truth. They are not
above fabricating stories if they are against you. And
they don't like countries which refuse to "kowtow" to
them. In other words they deny others free speech
while they preach the
sanctity of free speech for themselves.
We know of cancellations by hundreds of
tourists because Malaysia is described by
them as a war zone.
Power it seems has corrupted
the press. Ironically
in the Information Age the only way to get real
information is to go see for yourself.
32. However if you care
to believe, I would like to point
out that since controls were imposed in September 1998,
the results have been very gratifying. Businesses have
been revived and are doing fairly well. As
the share prices have gone up, the Non Performing
Loans (NPLs) have
reduced and companies are healthy
again.
33. The repatriation
of the Malaysian Ringgit has enabled
us to recapitalise the banks and purchase the
NPLs without foreign loans. Retrenchment
is minimal. In fact statistically
we still have zero unemployment.
34. Inflation is
only 1.5 percent above the average yearly
inflation rate. There is no shortage of food or medicine
or fuel. The supermarkets are well-stocked
with everything including imported foods.
There are no riots and you can
travel anywhere in safety.
35. Whereas for
almost a decade there had been a deficit
in the balance of payment, now there is a huge surplus.
Reserves have gone up from US$20 billion to US$27
billion, sufficient to sustain over five months of retained
imports.
36. Property and motor vehicle
sales have shot up. And all
other indicators show an economy
which is recovering.
37. There may be other
reasons for recovery but there can
be no doubt that currency and capital controls play a
very major role. It cannot be a coincidence that the
healthy economic indicators
began to show almost immediately
after controls were imposed in September
1998.
38. Those who do not condemn
the controls outright ask us
when we would lift it. They admit that controls have helped
to stabilise and revive the Malaysian economy but they
insist that they are retrogressive steps. Now that stability
has been achieved the controls should
be removed.
39. We see no
reason to remove currency control now.
The experience of Latin countries show that as soon as
their economies recover from the effects
of attacks on their
currencies, the currency traders would launch
another attack with equally disastrous
results. Clearly as long
as the international financial regime allows the currency
traders to devalue currencies, there is no
guarantee that they will cease and desist
simply because financial
reforms have been carried out faithfully by Governments.
The currency traders are not interested in the
good behaviour of Governments. They
are only interested in
there being sufficient wealth to rob. Countries
with worse Governments are left free
of attacks if they
are too poor to be robbed through
currency devaluation.
40. The controls will
therefore remain in place until the
International Community devises a new financial
regime which curbs the activities of currency
traders.
41. Currency trading has served
no good purpose as far as
the world's economy is concerned. It may enrich
a few rich capitalists in developed
countries but it does so
at the expense of relatively poor countries and their poor
people. Today millions in East Asia are starving
or have only one meal
a day, are unable to afford medical
treatment or milk for their children. You may
want to blame the Governments
for this catastrophe but before
the currency devaluation these things did not
happen.
42. The IMF, the media and
the rating agencies are all culpable
but not initially. It is the currency traders who
are the true culprits who caused the destruction of
the economies of East Asia, of Latin
America, of Russia and
of the world. Trillions of dollars in terms
of purchasing power and in real terms
have been lost. The currency
traders have destroyed huge amounts of the
wealth of the world in order to make
a relatively small profit for
themselves.
43. In Hong Kong in 1997 I
blamed the currency traders.
I have no reason to change my mind. The world can
do without their destructive
cattle-like behaviour. If they
cannot be done away with they should at least be
regulated. Governments which
harbour them and claim that
they cannot control them should resign
or be overthrown.
44. The 21st Century
should be a better century than the
20th. In the 20th Century we saw the invention of
ever more destructive weapons of war.
We are now seeing newer weapons
of war, namely financial and economic weapons.
And they are no less destructive, no less
lethal than the rockets and the bombs.
45. If the
world really believes in peace, in
democracy, in justic for all, destroy
or curb currency trading.
Then and then only will we see a revival of the
world's economy and an equitable distribution of
wealth.
46. Malaysia is bouncing
back from the brink. But I must
admit that as a small trading nation the extent it bounces
back depends on the world's economy. We will
not recover fully if the world does not recover,
and it will not recover if it
regards capitalism as a religion.